They fill, and they fill with whoever has the most organizational capacity on the ground. Iran had been building that capacity in Iraq since the 1980s, cultivating Shia political networks, exile parties and militia groups during and after the Iran-Iraq War and beyond with the explicit goal of ensuring a post-Saddam Iraq would never again threaten Iranian security.
30 large ships with the capacity to carry 2 million barrels each are making a run for it to Saudi Arabia’s Red Sea coast and the Bab al-Mandab Strait. It’s further away from Iran than Hormuz, but Iran and its Houthi proxies are still able to strike ships maneuvering through that pinch point.
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